History, politics, people of Oly WA

Category: Washington Politics (Page 1 of 27)

Democratic Party Dominance in Washington State, Ireland 100 Years Ago and Mark Reed

Democratic Party identification in Washington State has hit 50 percent. That’s the highest number I’ve found in over thirty years of polling data.

Because voter registration in Washington carries no partisan label, party identification floats. The only way to track it is through the demographic crosstabs buried in statewide polls, which I’ve been compiling in a spreadsheet. The numbers tell a consistent story: each spike of national tension pulls voters off the independent shelf and drops them, at least temporarily, into one of the two major parties.

Since the start of the current Trump era, Republican identification has ticked up roughly 1.5 percent on average across available polls. Democratic identification has surged approximately 7.5 percent, drawn almost entirely from independents, whose share has contracted by a corresponding 7 points.

We’ve seen this before. At the end of the first Trump administration, Democratic ID jumped 8.25 percent, Republican ID fell 1.2 percent, and independent ID collapsed 14 points. The Biden era ran the current in the other direction, lifting Republican ID by 3.3 percent and Democratic ID by nearly 2, while independents dipped modestly. Independent identification surged during the late Obama years and again after the 2022 midterms, but under conditions of sharp national polarization, that middle ground gets absorbed.

The data itself is thinning out. The Northwest Progressive Institute and Future 42 both release topline results without demographic breakdowns, which limits how useful they are. The Elway Poll, for decades the most reliable regular tracker of Washington opinion, has ended. SurveyUSA drifted out of the market when KING TV stopped paying for polling. DHM Research now appears to be the last pollster doing regular statewide surveys in Washington.

Two things explain what the numbers show. One is the outsized pull of national politics on a state that might otherwise develop its own distinct political character. The other is the internal fracturing that tends to hit any party dominant enough to have no serious external opposition.

How Ireland Explains the Gravitational Pull of the Center

To understand the first one, it helps to zoom out, well out, to late 19th-century and early 20th-century Ireland. I know that sounds like a stretch. Stay with me.

Think of Washington not simply as a blue state but as a distinct political ecosystem caught in the gravitational field of a distant center. When the Conservative Party held power in London, Irish nationalist identity hardened, drawing together urban constitutionalists and rural agrarians, moderate Home Rulers and more radical nationalists, bound by shared resistance to a government they couldn’t control.

Washington Democrats work the same way. The coalition’s internal disagreements over housing density, tax structure, and the pace of reform are real. But under a right-leaning federal administration, those disagreements get pushed aside by a more urgent question: who controls the shield? The state’s 50 percent Democratic identification is a defensive posture built by voters who see state government as their primary buffer against what’s coming out of Washington, D.C.

The British Tories understood this consolidation well enough to try to dissolve it. Their strategy of Constructive Unionism poured infrastructure investment into Ireland and passed local land reforms, betting that solving material problems would defuse nationalist sentiment. It failed completely, because in a highly charged political environment, the practical argument gets swallowed by the symbolic one.

Washington Republicans face the same trap. Campaigns built on local material issues, highway funding, gas taxes, public safety, struggle to gain traction because a vote for a local Republican reads to most voters as an endorsement of the national party. The local argument can’t escape the national frame.

The deeper warning in this parallel is what happened when the moderate Irish Parliamentary Party ran out of credibility. The IPP spent decades telling voters it was their only realistic shield against London, while failing to deliver structural change at home. After 1916, a frustrated electorate abandoned it for the more radical Sinn Féin. Washington Democrats holding a supermajority built on oppositional energy face a structurally similar problem. If the resistance framing outlasts its usefulness without being replaced by durable accomplishment, the coalition fractures from the left.

Mark Reed and the Dominant 1920s Washington Republicans

That fracturing brings us to a closer historical analogue, not Ireland but Washington State itself, a century ago, when Republicans held the dominant position in Olympia and the contradictions of one-party rule were playing out across the legislature.

The parallels are uncomfortable. Then, as now, the fault line ran between institutional consolidators and ideological insurgents. Speaker Mark Reed built his power on a pragmatic economic vision, state-funded infrastructure and modest worker safety nets, that reflected the timber industry’s long-term interest in a stable, functional state. Governor Roland Hartley represented the Old Guard’s hardline fiscal reaction, contemptuous of what he saw as creeping progressivism in Reed’s program. They weren’t fighting over whether Republicans should govern. That was settled. They were fighting over what governing in a one-party state actually required them to do.

Today Jinkins plays the Reed role. Under her speakership the Democratic majority has grown from 57 to 59 seats, and her argument for keeping the gavel is essentially electoral: protect the coalition, don’t hand swing-district members a vote they can’t defend in November. Berg is doing something different. She’s using her position as House Finance Chair as an ideological launching point, championing House Bill 2100’s millionaire’s tax, posting caucus-facing FAQs about it directly on the caucus website, signaling to the party’s progressive base that there’s a leadership path willing to push the supermajority’s power to its limits, whatever the institutional cost.

The geographic echo is hard to miss. Hartley’s factional base was rooted in Snohomish County, where he’d been Mayor of Everett and where the county’s GOP delegation served as the center of insurgent resistance to the Seattle and timber-coast establishment. Berg represents the 44th Legislative District, anchored in Mill Creek and Snohomish. A century later, a challenge to the incumbent legislative leadership is rising out of Snohomish County again.

The immediate timeline mirrors the old primary dynamics. Both Jinkins and Berg are deferring the real fight until after November, each needing first to survive and, if possible, expand in the August primaries. If progressive challengers unseat moderate Democrats this summer, Berg’s path widens. If moderates hold, Jinkins retains the leverage.

The Dominant Party’s Dilemma

What the polling data, the Irish parallel, and the Jinkins-Berg contest all point to is a single underlying condition. In Washington State in 2026, the most consequential political battles aren’t happening between the two parties on the ballot. They’re happening inside one of them.

The Democratic Party’s 50 percent identification reflects real voter consolidation against a hostile federal administration. But consolidation built on opposition is temporary. It depends on the threat remaining vivid, the alternative remaining unacceptable, and the dominant party delivering enough at home that its internal factions have more to lose from breaking ranks than from holding together. None of those conditions is guaranteed.

History is pretty consistent on this point. The Irish Parliamentary Party learned it after 1916. Washington Republicans learned it in the Depression. The question for Washington Democrats is whether the current leadership, whichever faction wins in November, understands that while Democratic Party ID has been growing consistently, 50 percent is the highest it has ever been, not an average. And things are bound to change in unpredictable ways.

Howard Schultz and the Demons of Ambition

When Howard Schultz criticized Seattle this week, he wasn’t inventing a grievance. He was re-enacting one.

He was the latest in a long line of people who’ve stood up in Washington State and said that Seattle has turned against the people who built it. That line goes back at least to the shopkeepers and labor organizers who faced off over Chinese exclusion in 1886, who believed roughly the same thing, and who were right and wrong in roughly equal measure. The players change. The tension underneath doesn’t.

To understand what’s actually happening in Washington State in 2026, the warnings about businesses leaving, the fights over taxes, the feeling that something has broken, you have to start not with Schultz but with a couple of historians who’ve spent their careers trying to explain why this place is the way it is.

Colin Woodard’s argument, in his book American Nations, is that the Pacific Northwest was built by two groups of settlers who had almost nothing in common. The first he calls the Yankee impulse. These were New Englanders who came west with a plan: build a better society, governed by rules and institutions, by people who believed government could actually improve human life. They founded the universities and the civic organizations and the reform movements. They also believed in the power of commerce and capitalism. For them, business was the building block of community and it wasn’t just a nice idea. It was a moral obligation.

The second group, what Woodard calls the Appalachian surge, came for the opposite reason. They weren’t building anything. They were getting out. They brought a deep suspicion of authority, a commitment to being left alone, and what Seattle critic Fred Moody would later call in Seattle and the Demons of Ambition, an “ethos of anti-ambition.” A pride in opting out. In refusing the terms the powerful had written. Seattle became a city that welcomed dropouts and rebels, a place with what Moody affectionately called “slob appeal.”

Put these two groups together and you get a region that’s been arguing with itself ever since. It wants good government and hates being governed. It builds large corporations and then turns on them as symbols of the conformity it was trying to escape. Woodard calls this a “fecund hybrid.” It can produce both Microsoft and the WTO riots in the same decade.

Moody’s account of the WTO riots, which he called “Apocalypso,” is still the best explanation of what happens when these two traditions crash into each other with nothing in between. Mayor Paul Schell, a classic Yankee “vision guy,” genuinely believed Seattle’s niceness would make it a model for the world. Instead, the streets blew up. The bicycle cops, the friendly symbol of the city’s relaxed self-image, were replaced overnight by what Moody called “Darth Vaders,” riot police in black gear. Beneath the utopian surface there’s always what Moody calls a “truncheoneer” waiting. Starbucks, which had been a scrappy local success story, had transitioned to the New England ideal of the Pacific Northwest corporation, along with Boeing and Microsoft and became a window to smash.

The pandemic, two decades later, showed what the synthesis looks like when it works. Christine Gregoire’s “Challenge Seattle” coalition pulled the private sector together fast. Boeing made PPE. Starbucks helped streamline vaccination logistics. It was the New England tradition at its most functional: disciplined, science-first, with business and government pulling in the same direction. The curve bent.

That spirit is gone now, or at least that’s what Schultz and Gregoire both say. And the question of why is where the standard take on this story goes off the rails.

Most of the coverage frames this as Seattle versus business, progressivism versus capitalism, taxes versus growth. It’s not a useless frame. But it misses the most important political fact about Washington State right now: the Republican Party hasn’t produced a statewide elected official or protected a statewide incumbent in a generation. So, this is a civil war inside the Democratic Party. And once you see that, Schultz’s op-ed looks completely different.

As a sidenote, this isn’t the first time Washington State politics have been defined by the internal politics of one party. In the 1920s, Republicans had been so dominant for so long, that only a handful of Democrats were elected to the state legislature. All the important political debates happened between various kind of Republicans.

But Schultz isn’t writing to Republicans. There are no Republicans to write to, not at the statewide level. He’s writing to the centrist, business-aligned Democrats who used to run Washington State, the people Christine Gregoire represented, that Gary Locke represented when he crafted a policy package to keep Boeing here. These are the ones who thought you could keep labor and the Chamber of Commerce in the same coalition. That coalition is losing ground inside the party, and Schultz knows it. His column isn’t really an economic argument. It’s a distress signal from a faction that’s being outmaneuvered within its own party.

Once you see it that way, everything shifts. The new taxes, the “socialist rhetoric” Schultz attributes to Mayor Katie Wilson aren’t accidents or failures of economic understanding. They’re the deliberate choices of a coalition that’s decided it doesn’t need the Schultz wing to win elections in Washington State. Lately, they’ve been right

But here’s where Woodard’s framework, useful as it is for understanding the past, might actually lead us astray.

He’s right about the history. The Yankee and Appalachian traditions really did shape this place, and the tension between them really does explain a lot, from the WTO riots to the pandemic response to what’s happening now. But those traditions aren’t frozen. They’re being recombined.

What’s happening isn’t the old synthesis falling apart. It’s two new versions of it forming, competing for the same ground.

The first version mixes the communitarian side of New England with the live-and-let-live ethic from the Appalachian tradition. The result is a politics that’s comfortable using collective power on social questions, pro-trans, pro-DEI, anti-racist, committed to equity as something the community actively builds, while also holding to the Appalachian idea that the government has no business regulating who you are or how you live. This coalition is fine with progressive taxes because it doesn’t read taxation of the rich as government overreach. It reads it as investment. It’s not anti-business, exactly. It’s indifferent to business as a civic priority. The economy, in this view, is plumbing. It needs to work, but it’s not the point.

The second version mixes the rules-based, institutionalist side of New England with the pro-business instinct from the Appalachian tradition. This is the Schultz coalition. It believes in civic partnership, in the kind of collaboration between business and government that made the pandemic response work. It also believes that growth comes first, that you can’t redistribute your way to prosperity, and that treating your biggest employers as adversaries is a serious mistake. It’s not against government. It’s against incompetent government. Those are different things.

These two coalitions have more in common than either would like to admit. They both trace back to the same regional mix Woodard describes. They both say they believe in good government. They both say they’re fighting for the soul of the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, the Republican Party has spent a generation mostly absent from statewide politics, occasionally trying to woo the Schultz coalition with pro-business appeals, but unable to get past what the national party has become.

So Democrats fight each other. In primaries. In city council races. In the pages of the Wall Street Journal. The party is big enough to hold both coalitions right now. But probably not forever.

Fred Moody has this image he uses for the history of the Northwest. He calls it a “bucking-bronco sine wave”: boom, bust, purge, renewal. He’s always liked tech collapses as what he calls “cleansing opportunities,” moments when the phantom wealth burns off and the region gets back to its actual self. There’s something glossy about that view. It suggests that what’s happening now is just another dip, and that the region will find its way back, as it always has.

But this time feels different. The automation rolling through Amazon and Microsoft isn’t a market correction. It’s structural.

Moody actually wrote about an earlier version of this. When he was covering the 1990s tech boom, he would recognize the Microsoft and Amazon generation as a new mutation of Woodard’s Yankee New Englanders: same utopian conviction, same faith that the right tools could perfect the world, just expressed through software instead of civic institutions. The people building Encarta thought they were democratizing knowledge. The VR evangelists thought they were reinventing human experience. Moody wasn’t unsympathetic, but he wasn’t fooled either. These were the “vision guys” in updated form, with the same blind spot the original ones always had: their utopia tends to arrive on the backs of people who don’t get to share in it. The Encarta team got laid off when the internet made their product obsolete. The VR evangelists mostly got absorbed or let go when the hype ran out. Now the engineers who built the AI tools are being displaced by the AI tools. It’s the same pattern, one cycle later, except this time the technology actually worked.

When Weyerhaeuser replaced loggers with machines through the 1980s, the region eventually settled on a story about spotted owls and environmental regulation that let everyone off the hook. The real story was that automation had been eating jobs for years before the spotted owl became a symbol. We’re probably going to be tempted to do the same thing now, to make this a story about taxes and progressive overreach, and miss what’s actually happening to workers as AI takes over more of what software engineers and middle managers used to do.

The Schultz coalition wants to restore what made the old tech economy work, without quite admitting that the new one is walking away from workers.

Which is why the debate Schultz is asking us to have might be the wrong one. Whether Jeff Bezos stays in Washington or moves to Miami, whether Starbucks shifts five hundred corporate jobs to Tennessee, those aren’t the numbers that will define this region’s future. The numbers that matter are the software engineers, the middle managers, the logistics coordinators whose jobs are being automated away by the same companies that spent decades making this one of the most prosperous places in the country.

Both political traditions, in their remixed forms, actually have something to offer here if they’re willing to use it. Progressive taxation applied to the profits of automation isn’t just redistribution for its own sake. It’s a way to make sure that when an algorithm replaces a team of engineers, the gains don’t just flow to shareholders while the engineers figure out what to do next. That instinct, using collective power to push back when technology rewrites the terms of work, is older than either coalition. It’s what the Yankee communitarians and the Appalachian labor organizers were both doing, in different ways, from the beginning.

Schultz ends his column calling for a “new compact,” and he’s right that one is needed. But the compact he’s describing is between government and business. The one that’s actually needed is between the economy that’s coming and the workers who built the one we have. That’s been the argument in this region from the start. The actors keep changing. The stakes don’t.

Going Closer to Home

I’ve been thinking about apportionment and the impacts of capping the House of Representatives for at least 10 years. The obsession started when Washington State felt the impacts of the 2010 apportionment, the process that created the “Denny Heck” district. This was the first major redesign of our political boundaries in my adult life, a massive shift in how we see ourselves.

We talk often about the polarization of our politics. We rarely talk about the math of it. Our legislative bodies have been effectively downzoned, capped at a fixed density while the population they serve has exploded. This isn’t just about crowded calendars for representatives shuttling around their districts. It’s a fundamental surrender of legislative power to the executive branch, turning our representatives from neighbors into distant brands.

The Great Capping

The pivot point for the federal government was the Permanent Apportionment Act of 1929. Before this, as the American population grew, the House of Representatives grew with it. But in 1929, Congress froze its membership at 435. By doing so, they didn’t just limit their size. They transitioned the House from a human scale institution to an industrial scale one.

We can think about this like a city council decision. Imagine a neighborhood that is capped at one single family home per parcel even as a thousand people move into the area. That single home becomes a rare, high value asset. Only the extremely wealthy or those with deep institutional backing can afford to buy in. The neighborhood becomes exclusive and expensive, ending up utterly disconnected from the needs of the many.

By keeping the number of representatives low while the population surged to 330 million, we created a form of political homelessness. There simply isn’t enough room in our legislative neighborhood for everyone who wants to be involved. This forces the public to move their needs and demands into the only building that keeps growing. That building is the Executive Branch skyscraper.

As Danielle Allen, co-chair of the Commission on the Practice of Democratic Citizenship, recently noted:

The House of Representatives was meant to be the body closest to the people. By capping its growth, we have essentially frozen the House in time, while the nation has moved on. This stagnation has allowed the executive branch to expand into the vacuum of leadership, turning a body of representatives into a body of spectators. We must enlarge the House to ensure that it has the capacity to oversee a 21st-century government and to ensure that every citizen’s voice can be heard above the din of special interests and executive overreach.

The Species of the Iconoclast

This downzoning explains why someone like Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is such an odd duck in modern DC. The 3rd Congressional District has a long history of protecting iconoclasts. These are people who cut against the grain of national party lines to represent the true essence of their geography.

We saw it in Jolene Unsoeld. She was an Olympian who entered office as an outsider and stayed that way, defying party expectations on everything from open government to gun rights. We saw it in Brian Baird. His independence was grounded in evidence and firsthand experience, the kind of conviction that meant supporting a surge in Iraq after visiting the country or being the first U.S. official in years to enter the Gaza Strip to condemn humanitarian devastation.

Now we see it in MGP. She isn’t a centrist in the way D.C. consultants use the term. She is a localist. Her politics are deeply rooted in the dignity of work and a Wendell Berry vision of local self-determination. When she hangs a 1950s chainsaw in her office, it’s a symbol of stewardship over consumption.

But in a capped House, MGP is an endangered species. When a district has 760,000 people, a candidate can no longer win through retail politics. They must buy mass media wholesale messaging, a requirement that demands national party money and adherence to a national brand. If we uncapped the House, we would likely see more people like her. It wouldn’t be because they share her specific policies. It would be because smaller districts allow for low to the ground campaigns that lean into the specific nature of a community.

The Mirror in the Mirror: The DC Plateau

This same hollowing out is happening right here in Washington State. There is a fascinating irony in our history. In 1930, just one year after the federal cap, Washington voters passed Initiative 57. It increased the size of our state legislature. We were upzoning our democracy as the feds were closing theirs.

However, that expansion hit a wall in the 1970s. Following the court case Prince v. Kramer and the shift to a redistricting commission, our legislature has been effectively capped at 147 members for over 50 years. Meanwhile, our population has more than doubled.

The result is a staggering representation inflation. In 1890, a Washington legislator represented about 3,000 people. Today, that ratio is over 52,000 to 1. Since that math splits the work of a single district among two representatives and a senator, the real ratio is 156,000 to 1.

At 3,000 to 1, a representative is a neighbor. At 52,000 to 1, a representative is a brand. We are losing the space where a useful, known member of the community could win a seat without a professional campaign apparatus.

The Institutional Friction Gap

The most dangerous byproduct of this cap is the loss of institutional friction. When a legislative body is too small to manage the complexity of a modern administrative state, the Executive Branch expands to fill the vacuum.

In Washington State, this impact is blunted. Our executive apparatus is split between more than a half dozen elected executives from Governor to Insurance Commissioner. In DC, the executive is unitary.

We see this in the fecklessness of the current Congress. When the President and the Congressional majority are the same, there is no friction. The legislature simply becomes a rubber stamp for the Executive’s national platform. When they are different, Congress often lacks the processing power to truly oversee the bureaucracy, a dynamic leading to a system where the President can largely do as they wish. The courts are left as the only remaining check.

Trump has demonstrated how far the edges of presidential power can be pushed when the legislature has unilaterally disarmed by refusing to grow. If there were 1,500 members of Congress, or 300 members of the Washington State Legislature, the surface area for oversight would be vastly larger. It would be much harder for a single executive voice to swamp the collective processing power of a truly representative body.

Reclaiming the Neighborhood Scale

We cannot have a Wendell Berry style of politics in a downzoned democracy. To save the iconoclast and restore the balance of power, we have to stop treating representation as a fixed scarcity.

Capping our legislative bodies was a choice made for the convenience of the incumbents. It was about the efficiency of the managers. But democracy isn’t supposed to be efficient in the industrial sense. It is supposed to be representative in the human sense. Whether in D.C. or in Olympia, we are living in the affordability crisis of a capped system. It is time to uncap the House, uncap the Legislature, and return our politics to a neighborhood scale.

We Fought Iron Giants. And Won. We Fought Hardwood Oligarchs.

You can look at our place and see a finished product. We look at the Tacoma waterfront, the glass of Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, and the landscape of a state that is established and permanent.

But if you scratch the surface of our legal code, specifically the patchwork of our 1889 Constitution, you see the scars of a street fight.

Washington State was not born from a polite agreement of settlers. It was wrestled into existence through a decades-long struggle against the iron hegemony of the railroads. Everything we have is a result of a battle. Our early history is born of wars with the railroads.

This history isn’t just a footnote, it is the fundamental DNA of our political identity. It’s why we were the rare state to let an NBA team walk rather than pay a ransom. It’s why, in 2026, as the NBA finally prepares to return to Seattle, they are doing so on our terms.

The Grange and the Commission

In the late 19th century, railroads were using discriminatory rates to crush small farmers while favoring industrial giants. They peddled influence by handing out free rail passes to judges and legislators. It was the 1890s version of a luxury suite.

Led by the Grange movement, Washingtonians spent twenty years agitating for oversight. The railroads argued that a regulatory commission would drive capital from the state. That threat has remained remarkably unchanged for 130 years. In 1905, the people finally won and established the first Railroad Commission.

Capital did not, in the end, flee the state.

This wasn’t just about freight rates. It was a shift in the social contract. It established that a corporation operating in Washington has a legal obligation to serve the public interest. That commission evolved into today’s Utilities and Transportation Commission. It’s a persistent reminder that in this state, we look at the books of the powerful before we give them our blessing.

The 2008 Divorce: Strategic Non-Cooperation

Fast forward a century, and the role of the iron masters had been replaced by the Oklahoma City barons. In 2008, when Howard Schultz and later Clay Bennett demanded a public ransom to bring KeyArena up to NBA standards, they expected Washington to follow a specific model of governance. They thought we would subsidize a billionaire or let them steal our civic identity.

But Seattle applied what social theorist Gene Sharp calls nonviolent resistance. Sharp points out that power isn’t monolithic. It relies on “pillars of support.” By refusing to provide the financial pillar of a public subsidy, the city and the state withdrew their cooperation. We decided that the big league brand wasn’t worth the public debt.

We watched the Sonics leave for Oklahoma City. That city continues to fund its status through massive public sales taxes for arenas that will never make the public treasury whole. Seattle, meanwhile, waited. We practiced strategic patience. We waited for a private investor who saw the inherent value of our market.

The 2026 Return: Value over Ransom

This week, the NBA’s Board of Governors finally voted to explore expansion back to Seattle. The projected winners aren’t a group of out-of-state threat-makers. It’s Samantha Holloway and the Kraken ownership group. Crucially, they aren’t asking for a handout. They’ve already spent the private capital to build Climate Pledge Arena. This proves that when you have a community worth being in, the private sector will eventually adapt to your terms.

This reality makes the current debate over Washington’s 9.9% tax on millionaires feel like a repeat of the 1905 Railroad Commission fight. Republican legislators spent a record number of hours during the legislative session claiming that this millionaire tax would ensure the NBA would never return. They argued billionaires would never subject their millionaire players to a 9.9% hit on income over $1 million. They warned of a millionaire exodus.

Ironically, Howard Schultz was the first to flee, but he will likely be the rare one. As Professor Cristobal Young’s research shows, millionaires are the least mobile income group. They stay for the social and professional networks and the value of the community. Notably, Schultz is mostly retired. His wealth is in the bag. He actually has no reason to maintain ties here because he’s already taken what he needs.

The NBA is yawning past our tax because they care about money. They’re moving forward because Washington is a premier global market. Our community matters more than their tax preference.

The Joy of Sport vs. The Luxury Box

While we celebrate the return of the Sonics, we have to look at the disparity in our own backyard. We do not build billion-dollar arenas for the elite with public funds. But in cities like Olympia, we struggle to find the space or funding to build a single new soccer field for a local rec league.

In 2022, the state pointed out that only 24% of Washington youth met physical activity guidelines. Adult physical fitness tracks similarly, with women reporting lower numbers than men. Our travel ball culture has turned youth sports into a commercial product. It prioritizes elite sorting over universal access. For adults, field access is worse than for kids since most of our access is limited to schools. We are relegated to expensive corporate gyms.

The Senate passed SR 8664 to address the pent-up demand for recreation, but the funding remains a shadow of what we once considered giving to billionaires.

We should look to the Norwegian model, where the “joy of sport” is a fundamental right. In Norway, profits from the national gambling monopoly are funneled directly into local clubs and fields. They ban national championships and scorekeeping for children under 13 to keep the focus on social development rather than professional scouting. It is a system built for the 100%, not the 1%.

The Rich Can Take Care of Themselves, We Need to Take Care of Each Other

The history of Washington is a history of learning the same lesson the hard way. The rich can and do take care of themselves. We gave tax breaks to Boeing for decades, and they took the jobs to Chicago and South Carolina the moment it suited their bottom line.

Our governance should be for the people who stay. It should be for the runner on the local trail, the parent looking for a soccer field, and the citizen who believes our waterfronts and our infrastructure belong to the public.

In 1889, we fought the railroads and won. In 2008, we fought the NBA and didn’t blink. As we welcome the Sonics back, we do so with the confidence of a state that knows its own worth. We don’t need to subsidize the powerful to be Big League. We already are.

HB 2554 and the Long Shadow of Initiative 456

A relic of institutionalized racism has lived in a corner of Washington State law for over 40 years. As House Bill 2554 moves through the 2026 legislative session, that language is finally on the verge of being wiped clean.

The bill seeks to remove the statutory leftovers of Initiative 456. It was a ballot measure passed in 1984 during a time of intense anger toward tribal sovereignty. Similar repeal efforts made very little headway in 2010 and 2021, but the persistent work of Representative Debra Lekanoff has finally pushed the bill onto the governor’s desk. I wrote about this history five years ago, but I want to revisit it again.

It did receive a strange amount of opposition in the House. Most of that dissent focused on the technicality of repealing a voter-approved initiative rather than a defense of the words themselves.

To understand why this repeal matters, we have to look back at the concerted efforts to dismantle tribal treaty rights that followed the Boldt Decision.

The roots of Initiative 456 go back to the immediate aftermath of 1974’s U.S. v. Washington (the Boldt Decision). When the Supreme Court finally upheld Judge Boldt’s ruling in 1979, it did so against a backdrop of defiance. It is important to remember that the Supreme Court did not just uphold the Boldt Decision itself. It ruled on a group of cases that were actively trying to overturn it. These cases started in local courts and wound their way through the State Supreme Court and finally into federal courts. They were an effort by private actors (like fishing charter owners) to force the state of Washington to stop recognizing the sovereignty of treaty tribes in salmon management.

This era of resistance is best captured through the words of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. Judge Alfred Goodwin wrote the appeals-level decision in the “Passenger Vessel” case. He did not hold back regarding the state’s behavior. Goodwin was born in Bellingham and spent his youth in the Pacific Northwest. He eventually became one of the most respected judges in the country.

He observed that the resistance to tribal rights was uniquely aggressive. He wrote: “Except for some desegregation cases …, the district court has faced the most concerted official and private efforts to frustrate a decree of a federal court witnessed in this century.”

This comparison to the Jim Crow era South was not an exaggeration. He was writing in the 1970s when the comparison to the legal opposition to school desegregation was fresh and real. It was a direct reflection of the legal and physical blocks put in place to prevent tribes from using their court-affirmed right to half of the harvestable salmon.

In our own backyard, the Thurston County Courthouse was a stage for this resistance. Local judges, including Gerry Alexander, found themselves in a jurisdictional tug of war. Groups like the Washington State Commercial Passenger Fishing Vessel Association sued state agencies in local courts. Judges like Alexander would rule in their favor, leaning on state law. The groups wanted the state to stop complying with federal orders. They argued that the fifty percent allocation violated the equal protection clause of the state constitution. They were essentially trying to use state law to override federal treaty obligations.

When the U.S. Supreme Court finally used the Supremacy Clause to cancel these state judgments, the opposition did not give up. It just moved from the courtroom to the ballot box.

Initiative 456 was born from this shift in tactics. It was organized by a group called S/SPAWN, which stood for Steelhead and Salmon Protection Action for Washington Now. The measure was a masterclass in mom and apple pie political framing. Supporters admitted to writing the ballot title to sound deceptively wholesome. They wanted to avoid any immediate association with the controversial Boldt Decision. By focusing on the decommercialization of steelhead and claiming that state natural resource management should not consider special rights based on race, they confused a lot of voters. Polling at the time showed that half of the voters were undecided. Many were simply confused by the technical language.

This confusion is born out in the results. Initiative 456 had the third largest voter drop-off of any statewide election on the 1984 ballot. Only insurance and lands commmissioner races drew fewer voters. Initiative 464 (which dealt with sales tax on cars) had the most voters. Initiatives show up at the top of the ballot, so for over 28 percent of voters to drop off between one initiative and the next, and then to turn back around and vote in other races, it means something. If 75 percent of the voters who didn’t vote on 456 had voted against it, the initiative would have failed.

Despite a massive coalition of opposition, the initiative passed in all but four counties. This opposition coalition included Senator Dan Evans, church leaders, environmentalists, and even major timber companies. They argued the initiative was racist and illegal under the Supremacy Clause. They also warned that it threatened international fishing treaties with Canada.

The opposition campaign did not do its job to turn the undecided votes into no votes. Looking back at last week’s essay on pragmatism, I could see a simpler argument was possible, focusing on “we’re a serious state, we need to focus on bigger things and not let opposition to treaty rights define us” being an easy reason to vote no. But the populist appeal of “equal rights” carried the day. It was framed as the removal of special tribal privileges.

The 456 longtail

While the initiative was largely a message to Congress with no immediate power to override federal law, it stayed a strong political tool for years. Senator Slade Gorton tried to implement the core goals by introducing a federal bill in 1985. He wanted to ban tribal commercial steelhead fishing. The effort failed and even created a rift among conservatives. Senator Dan Evans joined the Reagan administration in speaking out against it.

However, the spirit of I-456 was kept alive by later Republican candidates for governor like Bob Williams (1988) and Ken Eikenberry (1992). Both insisted they would enforce the initiative if they were elected. Eikenberry’s endorsement showed that anti-tribal sentiment stayed embedded in the state’s conservative platform for years after the initial vote.

Another reason why 456 mattered was that the tribes’ work wasn’t done in the 1980s. A year after Bob Williams lost in the governor’s race, the tribes went back to court to reaffirm their treaty rights to shellfish, just as they had done in the 1970s for salmon. The decision to expand the federal understanding of treaty rights was not firm, and the tribes did not understand where exactly this new fight would end. Eventually, spanning the time of the Eikenberry campaign, the tribes would win reaffirmation of 50 percent of the shellfish harvest in 1995. But it was a possibility that with shellfish and its corresponding issues of private shellfish companies and private property rights on beaches, the treaty rights structure would fall apart.

Also by the mid-1990s, I-456 began to lose its relevance. The state started to transition toward more stable co-management. Tribal political power grew significantly. Campaign donations increased from the tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands of dollars. As the state and tribes moved further into what people called the “dawn of cooperation,” the aggressive tactics of the 1970s started to look outdated. Although the language of the initiative stayed in the Revised Code of Washington, it was seen as dead law. It was unenforceable because federal treaties are the supreme law of the land.

If you look at the actual text of RCW 77.110, you can see why it’s so problematic. It claims that the state should not recognize any rights to natural resources based on “ancestry” or “race.” This sounds fair on a very surface level, which is why the “Mom and apple pie” strategy worked so well. But in the context of Indian law, this is a direct attack on the political status of tribes. Treaties are not based on race. They are agreements between sovereign nations. By trying to redefine treaty rights as racial privileges, the writers of I-456 were trying to strip away the legal foundation of tribal sovereignty.

Our history can have a haunting presence.

There is a current lawsuit filed by Fish Northwest against the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife following the same pattern as the Passenger Vessel era lawsuits in the 1970s. Fish Northwest is an interesting group that has picked up anti-tribal sentiment that has found new energy over the past 10 years or so. Their litigation strategy echoes the past efforts by trying to cancel current fishing rules through state administrative law. It was filed in the same Thurston County Superior Court that hosted the original post-Boldt challenges. Currently, Fish Northwest is challenging salmon fishing seasons by claiming the state failed to follow procedures like the Regulatory Fairness Act.

The parallels are striking. The state describes the current lawsuit as a backdoor attempt to attack a federal agreement in state court. This happened after Fish Northwest was denied the right to join the federal U.S. v. Washington case directly. The underlying motive is still the same old “Fair Share” grievance. It is a long-standing belief that non-treaty fishers are not getting their due.

In July 2025, a Thurston County judge granted part of their petition. The judge found that the state’s rules were invalid because they failed to conduct a required Small Business Economic Impact Statement. This is a clever evolution of the 1970s and 1984 tactics. Instead of attacking treaties directly, they are using the language of “regulatory fairness” and “small business protection” to gum up the works.

This small business angle is particularly cynical. It frames the state’s cooperation with tribes as a burden on local economies. It ignores the fact that tribal fishing is also a massive economic driver for the region. While the state is currently appealing this ruling, the case represents a spirit that refuses to see tribes as partners. It is an attempt to run around decades of established case law.

As HB 2554 nears the governor’s desk in 2026, it serves as more than just a legislative cleanup. It is a formal rejection of the era of frustration described by Judge Goodwin. By removing the language of Initiative 456, the state is closing the book on an era that tried to turn Washington back into a battlefield of resistance.

Legal challenges like the one from Fish Northwest will probably keep happening. But they will no longer have the comfort of seeing their ideas reflected in our state laws. The meaningless words are finally being stripped away. This leaves room for a future defined by working together rather than constant conflict. We’ve spent forty years with these words on the books. It’s about time we stop letting the past dictate how we manage our future.

The Power of Nightmares but Dreaming of Something Better

The streets were under a state of siege. They were gripped by a level of civic breakdown that feels ancient in its brutality. 

A powerful media figure styled himself as a guardian of law and order. He spent months radicalizing the public against a perceived foreign threat. Through his writing and speeches, he cast social conflict as an invasion and dissent as subversion. 

This campaign led to the formation of a heavily armed force that ignored the courts and civic institutions. In organized raids, its members rounded up hundreds of people they didn’t like. They beat them with clubs. They forced them at gunpoint out of town and banished them from the places where they lived and worked. 

The air was thick with talk of Americanism versus treason. The local press framed these purges as a necessary cleansing of the community.

This wasn’t Minneapolis or Chicago in 2026. This was Hoquiam in 1912.

The events of the Grays Harbor County War started a political firestorm. It shattered local politics and created the framework for the immigration system we’re still fighting over today. What happened on the banks of the Hoquiam River wasn’t a weird one-off event. It was a prototype.

Albert Johnson was the central figure. He was a newspaper editor who later carried this model of vigilante justice to Congress. The workers he targeted were immigrants tied to the Industrial Workers of the World. Like the mob that stormed the Capitol on January 6, 2021, the Citizens’ Committee that terrorized the IWW was made up of local businessmen. These men believed they could restore order with ax handles and rifles. This conflict was a rehearsal for the nationalistic energy that became the Immigration Act of 1924. Our technology is different now, but the blueprint is the same. People exploit local unrest, turn economic stress into a cultural threat, and use that panic to justify national fear.

Grays Harbor was the lumber capital of the world. Its wealth came from the hard work of Finns, Greeks, and Slavs. These immigrant workers lived in dirty camps and worked ten-hour days in dangerous mills. In late 1911 and early 1912, the IWW organized them. They started with free speech fights and ended with a massive strike in March 1912. The mills stopped. The business elite panicked.

Johnson was the editor of The Daily Washingtonian. He became their main voice. He didn’t just write columns. He used his paper to help lead the Citizens’ Committee. This was a vigilante group made up of people who saw themselves as “respectable.” They ignored the police and did whatever they wanted. They raided union halls and beat strikers. By May 1912, they crushed the strike. Workers were loaded onto trains at gunpoint and told to never come back. Johnson told the public this wasn’t about wages. He said it was about protecting America from foreign anarchy.

That story became the foundation of his career. He was elected to Congress in November 1912. He brought another paper, the Home Defender, to D.C. to keep the fight going. Over the next decade, he turned the logic of Grays Harbor into federal law. Congress passed the Immigration Act of 1917, which added literacy tests. This was just the start.

By 1919, Johnson was the chairman of the House Committee on Immigration and Naturalization. He wanted his ideas to look official. He hired a eugenicist named Harry Laughlin to be his expert. The results were laws that narrowed who was allowed to be American. In 1921, he wrote the Emergency Quota Act. In 1924, the Johnson-Reed Act finished the job. It used the 1890 census to decide who could enter. This was a trick to exclude the same Southern and Eastern Europeans Johnson fought in Washington. When President Coolidge signed it, Johnson called it a second Declaration of Independence.

He turned mob violence into a government machine. Things like deportation and visas weren’t acts of a crowd anymore. They were part of a permanent system.

Alternative History of Hoquiam

But I’m not writing today to just tell you what happened in Hoquiam was inevitable. Right now, we’re trying to find a way out. So, let’s imagine a world where Johnson didn’t succeed.

But what if this didn’t happen? It’s useful to look at how history could have gone differently. We’ve seen that history isn’t always a straight line. There’s a version of this where the “Red Coast” didn’t just resist but built a bridge between different groups. Imagine if the 1912 strike ended with a coalition of workers and farmers. In this version, the local middle class is disgusted by the violence. They decide that you can’t have law and order if you’re breaking the law to get it. Johnson’s paper is sued for libel. He loses his money and his reputation before he ever gets to D.C.

The Washington State Grange helped make this possible. They were a powerful group of farmers who cared about the democratic process. They hated the vigilantism of the Citizens’ Committee. They saw the deportations as a threat to everyone’s civil liberties. The Grange condemned the business elite. They put their support behind local leaders who stood against the violence. This gave the middle class the cover they needed to speak up. It broke the power of the anti-labor group and made room for a new Labor Defense League.

In this timeline, Stanton Warburton, a progressive Republican, wins the 1912 election instead of Johnson. He beats him by speaking out against the ax handle tactics. Because Warburton keeps his seat, the path to the 1924 Act is severed. Instead of racist quotas, we get the 1928 Integration Act. It creates a federal office to help new workers. By 1930, 18% of the population is foreign born. These people become a huge group of customers that helps the economy stay stable during the Depression. American identity becomes about what you contribute rather than where your parents were from.

The labor movement wins by changing what it means to be American. They argue that including people is the best way to stop exploitation. The Labor Defense League teaches English and civics while they organize. They say an immigrant with a union card is a better American than a man with a club.

Without Johnson, eugenics would never have become a part of our policy. The leaders of the immigration committee are progressives who care about the economy, not “purity.” This focus on solidarity changes everything. Unions and farmers work together. Farm owners in the fruit regions agree to fair wages and housing in exchange for a stable workforce. They create a direct path to citizenship.

If that had happened, our politics today would be different. We wouldn’t be obsessed with demographics or cultural panic. We’d talk about economic solidarity instead. We wouldn’t hear much about “replacement” or “dilution.” We’d focus on building unions and protecting workers. This would stop the race to the bottom that makes people hate immigration.

Our experts would change too. We wouldn’t listen to people who scream about border crises. We’d listen to people who study how to help newcomers join the community. Success would be measured by how fast people pay taxes and join the workforce.

Johnson’s power came from turning local fights into a national panic. We still see this. A fight in a city or a border dispute becomes an existential crisis. The lesson of this alternate history is that local resistance matters. If Hoquiam had said no to Johnson in 1912, we might have a more open democracy today.

The 1924 Act is still with us because it made immigration a matter of crime and race. Before Johnson, “illegal aliens” weren’t really a thing in our laws. He built the world of border patrols and caps. Even after the overtly racist parts were removed in 1965, the structure stayed. Johnson didn’t just win a fight in a small town. He changed the whole conversation. He made us ask if people should be here at all instead of asking how to welcome them. That choice still has us stuck today.

The Current Counterfactual

We can see the emotional reality of this counterfactual in modern Pacific County. It sits right next to Grays Harbor. In 2017, the area was shaken when ICE agents detained Mario Rodriguez at the post office in Long Beach. Mario wasn’t a stranger. He’d lived on the peninsula for twelve years. He worked as a bilingual teaching aide in the local schools. He was a neighbor, a volunteer, and a friend. When he was taken, the reaction from the local white community was not what you might expect. Many of these people had voted for the very policies that led to his arrest, but they weren’t happy. They were shocked.

Even the local police chief, Flint Wright, was rattled. He had supported a tougher border, but he spoke up for Mario. He called him a pro-law enforcement guy. He said anyone would want him as a neighbor. This reaction shows that when abstract talk about “illegal aliens” meets a real human being, the old logic falls apart. The people of Pacific County didn’t see an invader. They saw a hole left in their neighborhood. They formed a support group that eventually became a nonprofit. They fought for their neighbor.

This local pushback is today’s proof that Johnson’s vision was never inevitable. It shows that even in the conservative timber and fishing towns of Southwest Washington, people can choose their neighbors over a club. The ghost of 1924 is still in the machine, but stories like Mario’s remind us that we can choose a different path. We don’t have to live in the reality Albert Johnson built. We’ve seen a glimpse of something else. It’s much closer than we think.

The Whitman Statue Is Our Confederate General Statue. It is Time to Go

For the last year or so, the state has been tied in knots over a very simple question: where should we put the Marcus Whitman statue once it’s removed from its current spot at the Capitol?

Down the hall? Near the Senate dining room? Outside, under cover, fingers crossed it doesn’t get vandalized or fall apart? Maybe leave it where it is and move everything else around it?

Watching this debate unfold has been oddly familiar. Not because the details are the same, but because the pattern is.

We’ve seen this movie before. Just not here.

In the South, communities spent decades arguing about what to do with Confederate statues. Every option was explored except the obvious one. Move it somewhere else. Add context. Put up a plaque. Keep it for history. Avoid controversy. Respect “both sides.” Study it a little longer.

Sound familiar?

Eventually, many of those places had to face the truth. Those statues were never neutral. They weren’t built to teach history. They were built to tell a story about power, race, and who belonged. And once that truth was unavoidable, the only honest option was removal.

Marcus Whitman occupies the same space in Washington’s history.

That may make some people uncomfortable, but discomfort isn’t a reason to avoid clarity.

The Whitman statue was not erected because historians reached a careful consensus about his importance. It was erected because a specific myth needed a physical anchor. The “Whitman Saved Oregon” story wasn’t just wrong. It was useful. It framed white settlement as inevitable, benevolent, and divinely sanctioned. It pushed Native people to the margins. It wrapped colonization in religion and heroism.

That story has been thoroughly debunked. Not recently, but decades ago.

And yet, the statue remains.

That’s why the comparison to Confederate generals matters. In the South, statues of Robert E. Lee and others weren’t really about the Civil War. They were about reinforcing white dominance long after the war ended. Many were erected during periods of backlash against Reconstruction or the civil rights movement. They told a story about who was in charge and whose version of history mattered.

Whitman’s statue does the same thing here. Different region. Different century. Same purpose.

The Whitman myth emerged in the late nineteenth century, decades after his death, at a moment when the Pacific Northwest was trying to explain itself to the rest of the country. The story claimed that Whitman’s 1842 ride east “saved” the region from British control and secured it for American settlement. It cast him as a lone, heroic figure whose actions supposedly determined the fate of the entire region.

That version of events was never supported by serious evidence. The boundary question between the U.S. and Britain was already being negotiated through diplomacy, economics, and military power. Whitman played no decisive role. But the myth stuck because it did important cultural work. It centered white, Christian settlers as the rightful authors of Washington’s history and treated Indigenous nations as background characters in their own homelands.

The myth also served a political purpose. Elevating Whitman, it justified land seizure, missionary violence, and the displacement of tribal members as part of a righteous and inevitable process. It replaced treaty rights and sovereignty with a comforting story about destiny and sacrifice. That framing made colonization feel moral instead of brutal. It made white supremacy feel like history instead of ideology. It is no mistake that we spent decades denying treaty rights and jailing tribal fishermen like Billy Frank Jr., because the story of Whitman made that inevitable.

The Legislature already recognized this, even if it didn’t quite finish the job. In 2021, lawmakers voted to replace Marcus Whitman with Billy Frank Jr. in both the U.S. Capitol and the Washington State Capitol. That decision wasn’t subtle. It was a clear statement about who represents Washington’s values and history.

Billy Frank Jr. fought for treaty rights, environmental protection, and the rule of law. His life and work are grounded in truth, not myth. Elevating him was the right call.

But when it came time to deal with the Whitman statue in Olympia, the Legislature stopped short. No clear instructions.

At a recent joint meeting of the State Capitol Committee and the Capitol Campus Design Advisory Committee, Lt. Governor Denny Heck said the quiet part out loud. The committees, he acknowledged, don’t have guidance from the Legislature on what to do with the Whitman statue here. They’re trying to navigate “sensitivities” without knowing what outcome lawmakers actually want.

So now we’re stuck in the process.

We’re talking about structural engineering studies to see if a four-ton statue can sit in a hallway. We’re debating whether it should be inside or outside. We’re spending time and money figuring out how to preserve a monument the state has already decided should no longer represent us.

Meanwhile, Billy Frank Jr.’s family has made it clear they don’t want his statue sharing space with Whitman. That shouldn’t surprise anyone. Pairing them would flatten history into a false equivalence. As if these figures occupy the same moral or historical ground.

They don’t.

What’s striking is how often people say this is all too complicated. It isn’t.

Across the country, far larger and heavier bronze statues have been removed. Robert E. Lee monuments towering multiple stories high came down in Richmond and Charlottesville. A massive Confederate monument in Raleigh was dismantled. One Lee statue was melted down and turned into new public art. Size didn’t stop those communities. 

Washington isn’t being asked to do something unprecedented. We’re being asked to catch up.

And here’s the part that often gets lost. Removing the Whitman statue does not erase history. It corrects a distortion. History lives in books, archives, classrooms, and museums. Statues live in civic space. They tell us who we choose to honor.

Right now, the state is bending over backwards to honor a lie because it’s heavy and old and awkward to deal with.

That’s not a good reason.

The Whitman statue is our Confederate general statue. It was built to promote a false, harmful narrative. We know that now. Pretending otherwise just delays the inevitable.

The Legislature should finish what it started: tell the Capitol Committee plainly that the Whitman statue should be removed from the Capitol Campus entirely. Not relocated. Not tucked away. Retired.

Deaccession it. Dismantle it. Repurpose it. But stop pretending it needs a place of honor.

This isn’t about tearing down history. It’s about telling the truth.

Brier Dudley is wrong about the news

Brier Dudley’s recent column, “No wonder election results are wacky: Fewer follow the news,” carries significant weight in Washington State. As a leading voice in the movement to fund news organizations, Dudley often frames the boundaries of what policymakers consider possible for future public funding of journalism.

However, his latest diagnosis of our “wacky” election results rests on a fundamental misunderstanding of how voters actually behave and where they are finding their signal in the noise.

Dudley’s thesis is that a lack of news consumption leads to “civic illiteracy” and “wacky” results, such as the election of progressive Katie Wilson as mayor of Seattle. But on his way to create a thesis that builds support for local journalism, he ignores the basic calculus of voting. Voting is an opt-in activity.

In political science, this is called “information efficacy”: the belief that you know enough to make a choice. People who truly feel uninformed don’t typically cast “wacky” ballots; they don’t cast ballots at all. This “voter roll-off” is why local turnout is often a fraction of national turnout. If someone shows up to vote for a “neophyte,” it’s rarely because they are operating in a vacuum. It’s because they have consumed media, be it a TikTok breakdown, a thread on X, or a digital endorsement, that gave them the confidence to act.

The Seattle Blind Spot

Also, if Dudley’s thesis were universally true, Seattle would be a strange place to prove it. He laments the decline of newspapers and TV, yet ignores the vibrant, digital-native ecosystem that currently drives Seattle politics.

While the Seattle Times remains a vital institution, it is not the only game in town. The city continues to fund public television; KUOW is a massive, robust newsroom; and then there is The Stranger. Whether one agrees with its politics or not, The Stranger remains a primary driver of city elections. When “neophytes” win, it is often because they were vetted and promoted by these alternative local outlets. By ignoring these players, Dudley isn’t describing a news desert; he’s describing a landscape where daily newspapers no longer hold the only map.

Olympia and Thurston County are a better example of the news desert that Dudley wants to use. The election results here, though, don’t match the results of his thesis. Rather than “wacky,” we tend to elect local leaders who stand in the deep trough of our local version of centrism. This is because the voters who tend to opt in have the time and inclination to do the extra work to research their choices. This is not an argument for less information. A broad and informed public is obviously a good thing for electing good leaders, but ensuring that once they are elected, they do the right thing.

“Social Media” Doesn’t Mean What You Think It Means

Dudley, like many, uses “social media” as a catch-all for “no news” or “unfounded opinion.” However, by 2025, telling a researcher that you get your news from social media is a meaningless data point. It doesn’t tell us what you are seeing. Are you following KUOW’s journalists on Mastodon? Are you watching live-streamed City Council clips on YouTube? Or are you reading a post from your neighbor on Nextdoor?

Social media is a delivery mechanism, not a source. The problem isn’t that people are “on social media.” The problem is that we have outsourced our civic square to attention-seeking algorithms.

Credibility is Now Built on Engagement

We cannot recreate the 1995 newsroom. The back-and-forth between media and audience has opened up permanently. Today, credibility is built on engagement, not just clicks to a paywalled article, but the actual work of being present where people are.

However, we must admit the anti-democratic force of current algorithms. Most platforms optimize for outrage because outrage pays more. This is fundamentally different from a newspaper’s old role of setting a shared civic agenda. We don’t just need people to come back to paywalled websites; we need a next way that fixes the digital architecture itself.

The Next Way: Digital Public Spaces

What does a pro-democracy digital space look like? It looks like an algorithm that benefits the community by not stoking outrage, and moderation systems that protect people from harm while inviting debate.

A promising example is Roundabout, a new product from the nonprofit New_Public. Roundabout is designed to revive the civic commons role that local newspapers used to play. Unlike Facebook, it is intentionally built against virality. It organizes local information, events, and shared concerns through structured channels and local stewards who guide the conversation.

Instead of a feed designed to keep you scrolling via conflict, Roundabout creates a digital space meant to help neighbors actually know one another and act together. It prioritizes usefulness over headlines and relationships over “likes.”

Looking back at old newsrooms and tsk-tsking candidates for making social media videos isn’t a strategy for the future. We don’t need to save the press of the past; we need to build a digital commons that treats us like neighbors and citizens rather than data points for an outrage machine.

It matters how we talk to each other, but it matter more where we talk to each other

Recently, I came across three interesting, overlapping stories about how government communicates with us. Each highlights tensions between joy, seriousness, and the incentives built into social media.

1. During the 2025 legislative session, the House Democratic Caucus (HDC) developed content described as having a “man on the street” perspective. The Legislative Ethics Board recently ruled against it.

Examples include:

  • March 17, 2025: A post featuring Rep. Zahn asked, “What music pumps you up?”
  • January 24, 2025: A post directed to Rep. Leavitt asked, “What is your go-to coffee order or snack during session?”
  • January 24, 2025: The caucus asked several legislators, “Describe your district in three words.”

These posts, along with others highlighting personal journeys, were criticized in a complaint suggesting these “puff pieces” were more appropriate for campaign materials than official social media posts. The Board concluded that the posts violated state rules on the use of public resources for campaign purposes because they lacked a legislative nexus.

Here we see a small example of harmless, joyful content being shut down simply because it was in the wrong bucket.

2. Meanwhile, the Center Square took a highly critical, detail-heavy approach toward similar content developed by the state Attorney General’s office. At first glance, the video was actually fun. Yet the criticism focused on the AG “wasting time” on a light-hearted video while other office issues demanded attention. It’s almost like the NFL cracking down on harmless end-zone celebrations: nobody is hurt, it’s just joy.

The broader lesson is that on official government channels, we’re expected to be serious and not have fun. This expectation exists despite the consistently creative, people-focused work the Department of Transportation produces every week.

3. By contrast, other officials use the cloak of “unofficial” channels to abandon even the pretense of harmless fun. State Representative Joel McEntire’s Facebook activity illustrates this clearly. While he previously claimed an unauthorized party ran a Twitter account in his name, he now openly manages his personal Facebook page.

Occasionally, he posts serious political content, but more often he engages in highly partisan and aggressive behavior, echoing the divisive rhetoric seen at the federal level. This includes ad hominem attacks, inflammatory comments (like suggesting a political opponent “needs to burn”), and calls for a boycott of a community activist’s business. One target, local activist and business owner Kyle Wheeler, recalled McEntire calling him a “pansy boy” and “delicate flower boy” in 2024—even while acknowledging Wheeler’s community work.

McEntire’s self-proclaimed “unofficial” page status, along with his title of “Chief of Mischief,” has allowed ethics complaints to be dismissed, since the Legislative Ethics Board lacks jurisdiction over personal accounts. Yet his behavior has drawn public criticism, including from a self-identified Republican who called it “childish insults” and an “embarrassment.”

How do we let ourselves be free?

These are small examples in Washington State, but they illustrate a broader trend: social media algorithms giving us different social incentives, and our institutions are not equipped to respond. The decline of local journalism, combined with attention-maximizing algorithms, means our online environments amplify the worst content.

As much as I respect the Project on Civic Health’s efforts to encourage civility, it’s not enough to ask people to control their own behavior. Smoking cessation is one thing; addressing the industry that created the addiction is something else entirely. Social media is designed to maximize attention, often at the expense of civility and community. People like McEntire are using these platforms exactly as intended: stoking outrage, drawing attention, and triggering the emotional rewards built into the system.

Real-world communities thrive on politeness, modesty, and small gestures of mutual care. Online platforms operate in almost the opposite way: they reward conflict, outrage, and self-promotion, which amplifies hate and division. This environment contributes to rising loneliness, anxiety, and mental distress, especially among young people.

Social media can be addictive, much like tobacco, and increased use correlates with worse mental health. Platforms are designed to keep users engaged, making regulation and conscious limits essential to prevent long-term harm.

I’ve been critical of school districts that adopt phone-free policies under the guise of student mental health when the real goal is classroom control. If schools were serious about the impacts of social media, they would ensure their own communications teams weren’t actively posting on spaces that are demonstrably harmful. They have not.

And there’s a reason for this: that is where the people are. We are trapped in a system where some people are finger-wagged for being “not serious” on official channels, while others are incentivized to be the worst versions of themselves on unofficial channels because it works. Meanwhile, serious communicators are stuck posting on platforms that reward outrage.

Kelly Stonelake captures this trap very well here.

The network effects are real. We can’t leave until enough of our actual friends, people we love, leave first. I’ve experienced this myself. I put Meta platforms on pause earlier this year, but returned because of the deaths of two men in my life and the need to connect with people during my mourning period. I could not fulfill my duties as a friend without the platform and the network. And now, I’m even raising money for Movember there because I couldn’t find another way to do it.

A step forward

One thing government could do is explore self-hosted, ActivityPub-powered social media. This idea had some momentum but seems to have stalled. Technically, it’s straightforward, and a handful of governments have experimented with it.

The first step in countering harmful network effects is to build a new network. Putting official government communication on a platform that no corporation can ever own is a vital first step toward reclaiming civility, community, and public trust.

Because yes, it really does matter how we talk to each other.

All Politics Is Local, All Politics Is Complicated

It’s the Saturday after Election Day, and I’ve been thinking about why people don’t vote in local elections. The answer, I think, is baked right into how local politics works, and how we talk about it.

Earlier this week, KUOW aired a “Sound Politics” episode that tried to untangle one piece of that puzzle: why school board elections in Washington are so confusing. It was a fascinating conversation about how state law allows school districts to run elections differently, but it got tangled up in language, using “city” and “school district” as if they were the same thing.

In Seattle, for example, school board candidates must live in specific “director districts,” but every registered voter citywide gets to vote for all of them in the general election. This unusual system exists only because Seattle’s population tops 400,000, a threshold that triggers a special rule in state law. Smaller districts like Highline and Tacoma operate differently.

It’s a great civics lesson, but also a perfect example of how confusing our systems can be. One of my broader theories about elections is simple: if people don’t understand the choices in front of them, they often just don’t vote. When confusion is built into the very structure of our elections, turnout doesn’t just sag, it sinks.

What bothered me about the KUOW piece wasn’t the reporting, but the terminology. Mixing up “school district” and “city” only deepens the public’s misunderstanding. I’ve seen this confusion play out locally in Olympia, where the city, the school district, and the port district all share the same name but have completely different boundaries. In Seattle, it’s even more complicated: the school district’s governance depends on the city’s population, even though the two are technically separate entities.

This is a microcosm of a much larger problem: state law makes local government more complicated than it needs to be. And that complexity collides with how we communicate about elections, especially in odd-numbered years when only local offices are on the ballot.

Another Sound Politics episode this week encouraged listeners to send it to “procrastinating voters.” It was a nice idea. Except that, unless you lived in the 26th Legislative District, Seattle, or King County, only one segment of the show actually applied to you. Even within those areas, it covered just a fraction of what was on people’s ballots.

That’s not a dig at the reporters, though they might have oversold it a bit (“Send this to someone who hasn’t voted in Western Washington, or, you know, anywhere in Washington…”). The truth is, no local NPR station (even in Seattle) could possibly cover the hundreds of races happening across dozens of cities, school districts, and special districts.

Think of it this way: Bellevue, Kent, Renton, Federal Way, Kirkland, Redmond, and Auburn together have about the same population as Seattle. If election coverage were proportional, those cities together would get the same attention as Seattle. But they don’t. There are simply too many races, so coverage outside Seattle gets rounded down to zero. The result: even more focus on Seattle, even less on everyone else.

And as local print newspapers and radio newsrooms continue their slow decline, the information gap just keeps widening.

The biggest reason people don’t vote locally isn’t apathy (which would be an internal flaw) it’s confusion (caused externally). Don’t blame voters for not turning in ballots, blame the system we’ve created. The system is hard to understand, and the information needed to make sense of it is vanishing.

The Texting Election

This year, I’ve had more friends than ever ask why they’re being bombarded with campaign texts. The short answer: vote, and they’ll stop. If your name is not on a list of people who voted, the campaigns are going to keep on bugging you.

Anecdotally, it seems that local campaign texting is way up. It makes sense. Texting is personal and intrusive, but it’s also cheap. In a low-turnout year, every vote is precious, and traditional media reach is limited. When you’re voting for everyone from park commissioners to city council members, odds are you haven’t heard much about any of them through your normal news sources. So campaigns reach past the media and straight into your phone. It’s not elegant, but it’s effective.

What “All Politics Is Local” Really Means

All of a sudden, there is a popular saying now that “all politics is national.” It reflects how the presidency and federal politics loom over everything. That’s true, to a degree. Since the television era, local election turnout has steadily declined compared to national races.

But when Rep. Tip O’Neill said “all politics is local,” he wasn’t talking about turnout rates. He meant that good politics starts with understanding your community, and connecting those local needs to national decisions.

Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez captured that spirit recently when she said she “just refused to let this race be nationalized. It’s not about the message. It’s about my loyalty to my community.” 

And if you zoom out and look at this week’s results from New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City, you can see that dynamic playing out. Each place faces the same national currents, but each community came up with its own answer.

Simplify the System, Raise the Turnout

If we want better turnout in Washington, we should start by making local government simpler. I don’t have a perfect fix, but I know that when voters look at their ballots and think, *“What the hell am I even voting for?”* those ballots are more likely to end up in the kitchen recycling bin.

All politics is local. But if we keep making “local” this complicated, we shouldn’t be surprised when fewer people show up to participate.

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